This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report. Videos show lead tanks getting disabled and the following tanks struggling to maneuver without meeting the same fate. Why did they so badly misjudge the Ukrainian resistance? [7]Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the Federal Security Service (FSB) board on February 28 and emphasized the role of the FSB in supporting the war in Ukraine in a law enforcement and counterterrorism capacity. #Ukraine: A Russian T-72B3 tank and BMP-2 IFV were destroyed by the Ukrainian 72nd Brigade using an AT mine and ATGM respectively in Mykilske near Vuhledar, #Donetsk Oblast. They have been updated through the decades. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. [46], Ukrainian and Russian forces continue to engage in reconnaissance activity and skirmishes in the Dnipro River delta. While the shortcomings of Russia's one-year conscripts are real, they now constitute a large minority, not the majority of Russia's military. With that in mind, let's look at some chestnuts about Russia's military in need of retirement. And certainly, you know, when conventional war in Ukraine fails, which I think it will, Putin will move to an unconventional war phase where he's going to flatten cities like he did in Grozny, too, and Aleppo in Syria. Today what I have seen is that even this huge army or military is not so huge, said Lt. Gen. Martin Herem, Estonias chief of defense, during a news conference at an air base in northern Estonia with Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff. Troops are trained in rote set pieces, with no time devoted to improvising if things dont go as planned. [20]Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied Russia with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support operations in Ukraine. [64]Prigozhin praised the soldiers and stated that he has already asked Russian military authorities to transfer them to a Wagner subgroup. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a Russia has closed down the airspace over the Pulkovo Airport in St Petersburg after an unidentified flying object was spotted, according to reports. The reporter and at least one editor know the identity of the source. NPR's Michel Martin speaks to Sean McFate, author of "The New Rules of War," about Russia's military tactics in Ukraine. But its also due to the fact that the Russian army just isnt very good. Articles may contain affiliate links which enable us to share in the revenue of any purchases made. Groups are working to de-mine those areas to make them safe for civilians. This is deliberate; its part of the top-down command system dating back to Soviet times, if not earlier. At some point, superior firepower will win out, at least in the short run. MCFATE: Basically, it's anything that doesn't look like World War II is sort of, like, what that means, or sneaky warfare. [45]Humenyuk also claimed that Russian forces are shelling Russian-occupied settlements on the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast to give Russian occupation officials and forces the pretext to conduct evacuations from Oleshky, Skadovsk, and Nova Kakhovka and withdraw closer towards Crimea. Absolutely hilarious to watch. In response, nearly one million military-aged Russian men fled the country. And right now, they're going through the streets of Kyiv in plainclothes. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. The Russian soldiers have been plagued by poor morale as well as fuel and food shortages. DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0NL2GH6ye8Z9QKkzyTCr https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267;https://t.me/Lunay14/3910. Even the best armies take a while to get going. The new Russian playbook keeps tanks and infantry outside direct-fire range until the big guns and rockets have done most of the killing. It is 82% in Strategic Nuclear Forces, but only 48,3% in the Ground Forces. As a result, Wagner should be considered a proxy organization of the Russian state rather than a private company selling services on the The Patriot air defence is outdated. Even if they dont, the officials say a frustrated Mr. Putin has the firepower to simply reduce Ukraine to rubble although he would be destroying the very prize he wants. [17]The Kremlin and Lukashenko are likely seizing on Chinas release of a 12-point peace plan to reintroduce an existing Russian information operation that the Kremlin used in December 2022. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive actions near Kreminna itself, Makiivka (22km northwest of Kreminna), Nevske (18km northwest of Kreminna), Ploshchanka (17km northwest of Kreminna), Dibrova (6km southwest of Kreminna), and Bilohorivka (10km south of Kreminna). The invocation of Chechnya and Finland is peculiar as while both conflicts with Russia suggest certain operational and tactical lessons, neither ended victoriously for Russia's opponents. Exact losses are unconfirmed; Ukraines military claims that in mid-February Russia lost 36 tanks. [78]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [79]https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/1630535360735334400;https://tw https://twitter.com/GianlucaMezzo/status/1630577307260690435?s=20, [80]https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1630453726304518144, 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036. [28], Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the rear of Luhansk Oblast. bragged to foreign allies at a military forum. "For this, as I said, it is essential that we promote competition among manufacturers and developers.". MCFATE: Sure. [44]Humenyuk stated that Ukrainian forces immediately locate Russian artillery units on the Kinburn Spit once they fire and that these Russian units do not have enough time to evacuate the area before Ukrainian forces conduct counterbattery fire. Using revised urban-warfare tactics, it methodically leveled Grozny then weathered nearly a decade of violent insurgency to crush surviving rebels. [21]US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director William Burns stated on February 25 that the CIA is confident that Chinese leadership is considering the provision of lethal equipment to Russia. https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1630616430210170880?s=20;ht https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8071;https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8069. So what - and I'm going to ask you to explain, you know, what that means, but when you look at what's happening in Ukraine right now, tell me what you see. [59]Business Insiderconcluded that Russian production remains unlikely to meet demand levels, however. Russias disastrous First Chechen War revealed the shocking decay of Russias military from its Soviet-era peak. Hence the stories of captured Russian troops who had no idea why they were in Ukraine. So I think we - you know, and the laws of war will once again prove rather feckless in changing his decision to do that. That has turned into a battle of attrition, with trench warfare and devastated no mans land straight out of World War I. And so, as the Russian invaders met resistance, they didnt quite know what to do. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Russia's weapons should be modernized, in a rare hint that the Kremlin is acknowledging its military hardware is outdated. Thanks for signing up! In other words, Russias military modernization has been uneven at best. Vladimir Putin dismissed the weapon as old and said Russias missile systems would be able to shoot it down. The question How outdated is the Russian military? is a bit silly when one considers the acknowledgement made by nearly every MSM of the advancem The question of the most modern army in the world is quite unusual. As they say, everything is known in comparison. For example, all NATO countries most of it. We do not report in detail on Russian war crimes because those activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. The Russian government has found Wagner and other private military companies to be useful as a way to extend its influence overseas without the visibility and intrusiveness of state military forces. The Russian advance is ponderous, retired Gen. Philip M. Breedlove, a former NATO supreme allied commander for Europe, said at a virtual Atlantic Conference event on the crisis last Friday. We will continue to evaluate and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the Ukrainian military and population and specifically on combat in Ukrainian urban areas. The military mobilized an unspecified amount of BTR-50 armored personnel carriers, which have been spotted in Russian-occupied territory. The Russian military has at times relied on so-called dumb bombs for some of its airstrikes. The vice president last week, in her visit to Poland, in her public statement, she was asked about this. A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces are engaged in fierce fighting near Novoselivske (14km northwest of Svatove). He holds a master's degree from Georgetown University and served with the Peace Corps in China. WebPutin hints that Russia's weapons are outdated, saying it needs to modernize its military hardware. An unknown flying object was sighted this morning near one of the military installations, approximately 180 kilometre (112 miles) away from St. Petersburg, hometown of Vladimir Putin. It is why Ukrainian soldiers explicitly attacked the Russian supply lines. The Kremlin is likely attempting to reintroduce a Russian information operation aimed at falsely portraying Russia as being open to negotiations while the collective West refuses to negotiate. It's true a significant chunk of Russia's army is made up of conscripts who are paid a pittance (2,000 rubles, ie. [75]ISW continues to assess that the forced deportation and adoption of Ukrainian children may constitute a violation of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. Four days of fighting might seem an eternity when viewed through the prism of round-the-clock cable news, but, in retrospect, a month from now, it will seem like the blink of an eye. It's not that there is never continuity or that all problems get corrected, but militaries really do change for better and worse in response to historical experience and shifting material circumstances. In one sense, this was predictable. Thousands who fled Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, arrived at the train station in Lviv, in the west. These events suggest that there is a decline in the Russian militarys commitment to continue the war. [24], Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Kreminna on February 28. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Russia still fields far more numerous forces than European militaries with equivalent defense spending, but not on the scale of the Soviet Union. [53]This arrest demonstrates Russian authorities willingness and ability to target Russian citizens abroad in Russia-friendly countries for acts of protest committed previously within Russia. Even in victorious campaigns in 1943-1945, it was typical for the Red Army to suffer higher casualties than its defeated foes. They work - they're owned by a Russian oligarch called Prigozhin, who's close to Putin. Copyright 2022 NPR. The Kremlin appears to be using Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko as a conduit to reengage with this information operation, likely in pursuit of negotiations on favorable terms to Russia and further delays in the Wests provision of critical weapons systems to Ukraine. If it's not going to be the United Nations, which has - many think has been AWOL for the last 30 years, then who is - you know, who's going to be enforcing that? Kherson Oblast occupation administration head Vladimir Saldo called on teachers from Russia to teach in Kherson Oblast, specifically Russian history, and stated that his administration intends to shape the educational curriculum with lessons on patriotism and military affairs under the guidance of the Russian Military Historical Society. "For example, for every item of gear or equipment, we must listen to those who use them and understand how these items perform and whether they are fit for their intended purpose," Putin told his coordination council, according to the Kremlin's official site. Russia will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights in the Ukraine War. The T-62 is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian Army since the initial months of the ongoing conflict. WebAnswer (1 of 21): Yes. Economic collapse and corruption resulted in dysfunctions ranging from Therefore, large troop-transport planes tried to land, even though the airport hadnt been completely secured and Ukrainian air defense systems hadnt been destroyed. [51]Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces struck Kherson City, Ochakiv, Mykolaiv Oblast, and Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. One year into the war in Ukraine, the conflict does not appear closer to ending, and Russian tanks appear no better at avoiding destruction. In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Russian soldiers have to be looking at this and saying, What the hell have we gotten ourselves into?. This is well known. Deutsche Wellereported that Lukashenko will sign a large package of agreements on developing joint projects, trade, economic, investment, humanitarian cooperation, and political cooperation with China during his three-day visit. Stay up to date with what you want to know. [2]The apparent uptick in fallacious biochemical and nuclear false flag warnings accompanies a concerted Russian false flag information operation accusing Ukraine of preparing for an invasion of Russian-occupied Transnistria, Moldova. [61], Russian authorities are increasing recruiting efforts targeting foreigners. MCFATE: Look; the laws of armed conflict, the laws of war, they all were created over 100 years ago, mostly, and they only seek to address conventional war, sort of state-on-state, military-on-military formal war like World War II. So how do we enforce it? 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