2026: $14-15M I would imagine the MLBPA, other pitchers around the league, and the agents that represent those pitchers are all thrilled to see this contract. My hope is an in-market streaming option arrives by next April. Strider has been excellent in his first full season with Atlanta, going 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 31 appearances (20 starts). For the fans sake, I hope ownership realizes the value of spending some money and they re-sign Swanson. Why do Braves fans act like he just had the best rookie season ever? Strider opened the season as a reliever but then solidified Atlanta's rotation, helping the Braves win their fifth consecutive NL East title. If you look at the Braves team what they have done extremely well is develop players. The Mets performance was more surprising than the Braves. The only IF is whether hell stay healthy and productive enough to earn the money. But not to worry, I did that for you. Swanson 11.2 WAR. Strider played collegiate summer baseball for the Falmouth Commodores of the Cape Cod Baseball League in 2018. Lots and lots and lots of people that dont realize what being in the top 2 of ROY voting means for service time. His salary will jump to $4 million in 2025, $20 million in 20216 and $22 million in 2027 and 2028. The Braves are getting 2 years of FA for $44 million total. The lowest the cutoff has been since 2009 is 2.115. " . Atlanta has a chance to squeeze out of fistload of rings before the Nats come of age and steamroll the Senior Circuit. And so in that way, I don't feel any pressure. So saying a player pays 30% federal tax. Players dont decide when they will be traded unless they have a no trade clause. Does AA hypnotize these guys agents when theyre in the waiting room? I agree, Dorothy. More importantly, has anybody ever heard of Chris Davis? Jealousys an ugly emotion. We can stay the underdog and underrated for all I care . Sign Grissom to an extension? The Atlanta Braves announced they agreed to terms with rookie sensation Spencer Strider on a 6-year deal worth $75 million on Monday morning. His service time was at 2 years and 148 days when he qualified for a difference of 145 days of service when a full season is 172 days. Well, the rich smart teams. Youd think some of these young Braves players would want to bet on themselves by waiting a few years. Hes been healthy for 3 straight years. Swansons on the up. He was not a Super 2, but posted an insane 2.85 FIP for his career with a Cy Young, 2 All-Star season, and 4 of 5 seasons with an ERA under 3.00. So the Braves just paid $35 mil for 1 free agent year of Strider, set* Im not getting an edit button for some reason. The point of early extensions is to create financial flexibility, not to lock yourself into just a few core players. If you dont believe me or you think there is something to argue look at non Super 2 Corbin Burnes and Super 2 Max Fried and youll see that their $19-22.5M through 5 service years each is a fraction of the Strider deal, despite All-Star appearances, Gold Gloves, Silver Sluggers, and a Cy Young award between them. The Marlins are one of the furthest teams from elite in the MLB. His current contract terms are 6 yrs/$75M (23-28) & 29 team option. He divides his timing between the four MLB teams, but one thing is certain. Average MLB salary rose to record $4.22M in '22. When hes banging 25-30 HRs, hell be at best a mid-.800 OPS, nowhere near the $40M/year people believe he will get! Kudos to him if he wants to do it; cant blame him for being happy to take nine figures to stay with his hometown team and to stay with this core of players but there should be a lot more on the market for him than that. Before joining MLB, he was the top freshman at Clemson in 2018 and later missed the . ATLANTA -- Within a matter of minutes, the Spencer Strider narrative changed from: How effective might he be in the National League Division Series to how effective might he be through at least the 2028 season? Love the hugely inaccurate arb numbers by posters on here. Spencer Strider signed a 6 year / $75,000,000 contract with the Atlanta Braves, including $75,000,000 guaranteed, and an annual average salary of $12,500,000. Phillies are in the WS. The Atlanta Braves have placed right-hander Spencer Strider on the 15-day injured list with a strained left oblique muscle. Cano signed with Seattle, the Mets were just dumb enough to trade for him. A look at the injuries for Spencer Strider, and the financial implications. @ice. Baez/Story trending down, Swanson up. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Awkward, weak arm, slap happy hitter whose approach doesnt fit the Braves high exit velo crush the ball approach. The examples and numbers you give and your well edited comments make me believe you are a writer fiction, right? Spencer Strider's Raw Stuff Is As Good As Any MLB Starting Pitcher. Lets say you are going to a MLB game at your local stadium and for-the-sake-of-argument lets say there are only 4 seat choices: bleachers $15, nose-bleeds (2nd & 3rd deck) $40, between 1st and 3rd base behind the dugouts for $100, and a seat in a suite for $150. These deals take trust on both sides. Luckily for the Braves, they have Strider under contract through 2029. If Strider is willing to take an extension now, he should be just as willing to do so again after another great year or two. Not coincidentally, DET will be picking high in the Draft (again). If he is 2nd in ROY he is credited with a full year of service so he definitely would NOT be a Super Two. I also would like to see how Strider does next year before extending him. This information might be about you, your preferences or your device and is mostly used to make the site work as you expect it to. This was a pretty high gamble on the risk/reward scale. He started 20 times and finished three . He could easily see $17m, 2om after this down year, then 28m. Good thing Shane Spencer wasnt on the Braves for 2 months this season, they wouldve given him $100m. You dont. Acuna had a 41/37 season after he signed, and was in his way to winning the MVP last year before the injury. Is MLB ok with them now? 2023 Pre Arb year $1 million (yes, MLB minimum is $700k) I think its even more encouraging within you're organization to know your going to have that nucleus every year.. Thats worth roughly $54m, if you can even buy a prime age #1 starter for 2 years. They signed him to a lucrative six-year, $75 million extension on October 10. Spencer Strider was drafted by the Cleveland Indians in the 35th round of the 2017 MLB June Amateur Draft from Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN) and the Atlanta Braves in the 4th round of the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft from Clemson University (Clemson, SC). But blowing a 7 1/2 game lead on August 7 and losing 6-7 to the primary opposition is absolutely a choke job. The contract will cost him $92 million if he exercises his option for seven years. https://www.mlb.com/news/daniel-camarena-grand-slam-off-max-scherzer, Wouldnt call him aging crap, but hes on the decline. They wont because the union wont allow it to only benefit a segment of the members. Yes, it would be more pricey that way, but its worth it to mitigate the good majority of the risk. Its called creative license. I expect the Braves are going to go to Dansby and say Dansby, you see what were trying to do here. To be totally honest, its not the least bit justifiable in any light. With that being said, I agree with Atlantas approach here overall but there is still a fair amount of risk involved when extending young players so early in their careers. If they had done the same with Jurrjens or Hanson or Wood this wouldnt have gone well. But this deal also looks ok for the Atlanta ball club even if you factor a 20 percent likelihood of a derailing injury midway through the deal. So now we have $55 mil. The standard Super Two pay scale for him for his remaining years is: $0.7M (league minimum) Huge Braves fan, but youre making a reasonable point here. You just need to have an Apple account and either a computer or smartphone to access the verification code. Also, Swanson played all 60 games in 2020 and he missed only 2 games total in the 21-22 seasons. Theres a reason Cohen has the money he has, and it isnt by being a fool October? But for every Newcomb, Folty, Wisler,and Touki that theyve missed on I think theyre happy to trade that off with Fried, Wright, Minter, and to a lesser extent Anderson and Elder. Harper was a huge part of that. This website is not directly or indirectly affiliated, associated, or connected in any way to Major League Baseball, the National Basketball Association, the National Football League or the National Hockey League. @Run. View a free mock draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 4 teams in a STD format. Think hell get significantly longer offers than 3 years Sid. Yes a 2.67 ERA is better then a 2.27 ERA. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. Yes, the poor ownership of the past is directly related to the problem but that teams problem going forward will always been the fan support. I believe 2027 is the final year of that infamous TV deal that hasnt been the cash cow many other lesser franchises have benefitted from. Owen Murphy, RHP 2. Wonder why they stupid overpay for him? Its about rewarding the player. Is your life so empty that you pore over comments in three week old articles in search of targets for your insults? Dansby is gone. I would give this contract a 5% chance of paying off for the Braves due to injury risk, statistical volatility, x-factor changes in both personal life and professional baseball. I wouldnt be surprised if he was pitching injured. Period. He has not stated how much he was paid by the teams while getting picked by the MLB. There certainly wasnt a universal belief the Mets would win the division since the Mets only was 77 games the prior season. Again, perhaps Im wrong, its my outsiders perspective. Love to see this for a team and their fan base, Win win for both sides. High School: Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN), School: Clemson University (Clemson, SC), Debut: $2M (2024) Albies was banged up this year but his $35M contract was earned in basically a year and a half. If you add those up, you get $77M. Strider has coerced whiffs on more than 37 percent of the swings taken against his fastball in the upper-third of the zone this season. Im a Braves fan who believes that there are plenty of fans of other teams who have common sense, knowledge, and good manners. Legendary strawmans a better name for you. No one is making obscenely more then the other. Please logout and login again. ~$22M (Arb3) All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. Players come and go and rosters turn over constantly. Even then, Strider still has to match two of the best young pitchers in the game over the next 5 years to even have that conversation, which is not likely. All of this doesnt even take into consideration if hes not an inner-circle HOF pitcher and has a fall off like Trevor Rogers. All four teams will provide unique challenges for the Braves. If his performance stays this high he will make over $80 million in his pre-arb year and those 4 arb years. Extra year for Roy. It's also available for football, basketball and hockey. Spencer Strider has a net worth of $1,167,934. Its a shame he doesnt pitch for the Mets. Bauer was coming off a season with a 4.19 ERA and had a 4.36 ERA in parts of 6 MLB seasons when he first hit arbitration. They played their home games at Truist Park (Park Factors: 114/116) where 3,129,931 fans witnessed their 2022 Braves finish the season with a .623 winning percentage. Finally, I know people point to the 10 1/2 game lead the Mets had and call it a collapse. The rotation is so strong that 39-year-old Morton, who re-signed for one year and $20 million, could possibly. I think there is some advantage, that doesnt show up on the balance sheet, when you lock in your young players. Mets fans are horrible (imo) bc all they do is whine BUT they show up and support their team (while still whining). They lost Acuna and won a WS. Soto himself did not have a top 5 MVP finish this year for example. He will finish 2023 with 2 years and 3 days of service time not even close to the top 22% of players in his class. Why would Swanson get Story or Baez money? Theres risk for sure, but if AA is doing it (hes been notoriously risk-aversive since arriving) Im giving him the benefit of the doubt. They cant keep getting away with robbery forever. in Columbus, OH Lengthy extensions to position players I get. For someone like me who can only watch my team on national broadcasts due to the unavailability of my teams cable channel at a decent price, getting to watch them on TV (instead of settling for the radio like usual) a few extra times a season thanks to the Apple deal is great. Scores from any date in Major League history, Minor, Foreign, College, & Black Baseball, Frequently Asked Questions about MLB and Baseball, Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE. Then you wont be signing him. Balance has been restored, and that means everyone taking part in a Head-to-Head points salary cap draft may actually want to do his own thing again. LOL best rookie season ever. He will earn $1 million per season in 2023 and 2024, $4 million in 2025, $20 million in 2026, and $22 million per season in 2027-2028. Plenty that rep for other teams. What about Georgias racist voting rights? Get over it already, your team choked, you should be used to Choketober and Choketember by now. Hes been a great pitcher so far, but he still really only has two pitches. Baez 14.5 WAR This is how a Mets fan copes with his team getting bounced lmao. This is the first season that he has looked really good and stayed healthy. @MJ: If you look at it from Striders perspective, hed be making a lot more money, regardless of where it comes from. Angels were very much in the running for Cole. If that happens, he will have 2 years and 3 days of service time. Players dont sign extensions to be traded. Noah Syndergaards arb years: $3M (2018), $6M (2019), $9.7M x 2 (2020 & 2021). The Braves need to go all-in now when the NL East is weak. 1 Freddie Freeman, 1B, LAD. Add in that Yankees more than any other team have their games moved to ESPN and Fox, and its often a challenge to play the game of find the Yankees. Less games on YES, but no reduction in the carriage fee we pay. The mlbtr article mentioned that his agency is Frontline. The facts say you are wrong. Have the Braves not noticed how many of their young pitchers have fallen apart after 2-3 years over the last two decades? probably not. This might be the worst extension overpay I have ever seen. A fourth-round gem in the extremely truncated 2020 draft (five rounds), Strider skyrocketed through the Braves system despite a lack of minor league games in 2020, ultimately making his Major League debut late in the 2021 season. Walk rate down to a career low while his K rate is basically at a career high. Braves will be WS contenders for the next 5 years at least with this core. Should have let Strasburg leave. To your point, Strider hasnt come close to earning it, hes shown PROMISE, not sustained success. Guy is putting up Randy Johnson numbers. Harris, Strider, Riley, Ronald Acua Jr. and Olson are all signed through at least the 2028 season. And of that, how many non-tech savvy (i.e. From the official MLB site: To qualify for the Super Two designation, players must rank in the top 22 percent, in terms of service time, among those who have amassed between two and three years in the Majors. The sum he agreed to when being selected by MLB teams has not been made public. Strider is now under contract with the Braves [] As much as the Acuna and Albies deals were highway robbery they still havent been good cause theyve been hurt or half what they were. =========================== Id assume the player has a good argument for the latter. Baez has been one of three most over rated players. Do you have a blog? For those that missed it, Strider will be Super Two BECAUSE he will be top 2 in ROY and that means he gets an extra year of service time in the new CBA. Braves righty Spencer Strider has been put on the 15-day injured list with a strained oblique muscle. Sure there is a chance that the Braves might save $20 million plus if Strider becomes an ace, but they are far more likely to waste $20 million plus if he doesnt. And Patrick Corbin with the Yankees. Theyre both at hpme.. And Strider got lit up, choking in the only important game hes ever pitched in. Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. The Braves have to account for that in their offer. He had two pre-arb years left and then 3 arb years before the extension. Its also worth noting that Fried might take the offer Strider just got as a giant slap in the face since hes been leading the rotation for years and won a WS for Atlanta, while Strider hasnt even pitched enough innings to qualify for the ERA title. Troll on books. Not at all. Spencer Strider is currently the starting pitcher position for the Atlanta Braves in Major League Baseball, the senior baseball league of the United States. The linked article at fangraphs talks about the increased likelihood of TJ surgery as pitch velocity increases, using two reference points for velo, the general takeaway is that 1 in 3 pitchers throwing 96+ mph will need Tommy John surgery between 23 and 25 years old. 2w Edited Story put up a 112 OPS+ and 26.8 bWAR in the 6 seasons leading up to his deal with the Red Sox. His option is for $28M instead of $35M (still a stupid number) and suppose this is all true, Then they are taking on 6 years of risk and hoping that he becomes a inner-circle HOF pitcher without injuries over the next 6 years, so they can save $20M on his age 29 and 30 seasons? Time will tell whether Max Fried and Dansby Swanson also factor into the teams long-term plans. However, he already has slightly more than a full year of service time. They will have their hands full if they get past the Phillies in the NLDS. Read more at MLB Trade Rumors. Not great to sign long term deals to declining players. The league would never agree to that. The greatest lineups ever? Bogaerts took an immensely friendly deal.. Look what Gerrit Cole was able to get. Hopefully Strider has a great career and its not an issue, but if it goes poorly thats not going to be a fun contract to have on the books in 2026-2028. HOWEVER, because he will only have 2 years and 3 days, he will not be in the top 22% of service time for guys with more than 2 years and less than 3 years. If Spencer doesnt get any better than he currently is, hes still an ace. As usual, i was right. It very well could be a bad deal for his team if he cant continue the level of dominance he showed this year or has constant injury problems. Strider will be a Super Two if he stays on the MLB roster all of next season, so that would have raised his prices in arbitration by a huge margin. Not a fan of it, but thats the way it works. older demographic) are even able to do that? Thats $25 mil. The Braves dont seem to pay for peak seasons from post-prime age players, especially not at SS, which is about the easiest position to put a cheap, 2 WAR floor under, given fielding peaks in players early 20s. Thats great, except he still has to win a Cy Young, get multiple All-Star games, and or win Gold Gloves. The Braves made this deal on the assumption that Strider will both be Top 2 in ROY voting, giving him an extra year of service time, and Top 5 in Cy Young voting giving the team an extra draft pick. Wow. Annoying, but stuff happens.. Good job locking up one of the top young mustaches in the game. Not sure who he /them is/are, but I betcha Freddie wishes he wouldve had him/them last off season. It would also be easier to negotiate more free agent years into the deal while still getting a significant discount on them. Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. They shouldve gotten at least 3 guaranteed free agent years plus an option year for that kind of heavy payout, and even then its unnecessarily risky for the team compared to other early career extensions. Inning 3: Salary-cap drafts Inning 4: Preparation . A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. Back when Acuna signed his eight-year, $100MM extension, that was the largest deal ever for a position player with under a year of big league service. If the 2029 option is exercised, the deal will be worth $92 million. Swanson put up a 95 OPS+ and a 14.5 bWAR in his 7 seasons in the majors. Talks a lot about eating correctly, training well, and staying mentally fit. Strider joined Atlanta's rotation near the end of May and still ended up striking out 202 batters over 131 2/3 innings, becoming the only pitcher in MLB history to record at least 200 strikeouts with fewer than 135 innings. Salary Spencer Strider's salary is $710,000 per year, which includes a $0 signing bonus. 18 Spencer Robert Strider (born October 28, 1998) is an American professional baseball pitcher for the Atlanta Braves of Major League Baseball (MLB). They are respected as a team on the field, but not as a market. Marlins will never have the fanbase to be elite. Vons king of the hill when it comes to Phils fans on here. Strider and Braves teammate Michael Harris II are very likely to finish first and second in the NL Rookie of the Year voting in either. if they waited another year or two like you say, none of this would be possible with the Braves payroll. Long-term extensions do not preclude a player from getting those bonus pool dollars pre-arbitration. Spencer Strider is still a rookie for the Atlanta Braves, but he has the potential to advance to the major leagues. Even if you assume he will get less than Soto for whatever reason, then $7+mm, $14+mm, $22+mm, and $30+mm is extremely reasonable. Thats hilarious. No I said youre disingenuous because youre trying to use the 2 1/3 ML inning pitched by Strider as a full season comp to Harvey. That is just temporary. Not the other way around. Love numbers, very structured, feel a level of entitlement with your degree, but your education built knowledge in a subsection of society that doesnt resonate with people outside your industry, so you come off like a pompous no-it-all, but really you have no true foundational advanced level education to help you structure arguments or support your statements! Because of their long-term deals, they are already approaching their cap limit and for that reason will only be able to add Swanson or a frontline pitcher like DeGrom. Im sure Ill get roasted with comments on letting Shewmake run with SS but Im trying to be reasonable. For that to be a reasonable number requires him to stay healthy for the whole contract, which would lower his free agent value as it would almost assuredly mean he will have some form of arm injury. $8M (2025) BTV? Then you see it wrong, they are ALREADY PAYING HIM top dollar in this deal. I cannot wait for the Braves/Phillies series to start in a few hours. Great for Strider too, because he locks in generational guaranteed money. @Lanidrac Its very unlikely to hurt the Braves badly, since short of catastrophic injury (for which theyll probably have insurance) theyd be keeping him around anyway, shepherding him through TJ should that happen, paying arb awards, collecting insurance. 37 Blake Snell, SP, SD. Disagree on my mets. Pads Fan. Born: Thats $47M making his free agent year more like $28M with a $22M option. Know it all..not no-it-all. Imo, you made a reasonable case for your trade evaluation w/out the amateur psychological evaluation. You are going in with an assumption that he will absolutely get it. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. He is likely to finish 2nd in NL ROY to teammate Michael Harris II, which means both get credited with a full year of service for 2022 regardless of whether they were brought up late or stayed on the roster all season. He already missed a month due to injury. He should call Chaim Bloom and give him instructions. The lot of before money is hopeful at best. Now ask him why he comments as Pads Fans and BaseballIsLife! Not a super bargain like Albies Acuna but its fine. Similar thing happened last year when LAD needed to replace Corey Seagers offense by sliding Muncy over and signing Freeman at half the price. (Strider is currently at 1.003 years.) Strider will be top 2 in ROY voting. Wouldve been a massive overpay. Spencer Strider has been a revelation for the Atlanta Braves in 2022 and they rewarded his incredible performance with a six-year $75 million contract. It seems about in the right range. His great year does not guarantee future success as he has not sustained it for nearly long enough. Strider has an 77% chance of avoiding it. From one English major to another, genius! If Baez and Story sign for 140 add in the shift going awaythe market for Dans is at least 140 plus. Updated On January 29, 2023. Must be a great place to play if they can get all these young guys to sign for long term. I dont really comprehend the LOL. The dumb ones, like the Alderson-Eppler-Cohen Mets, traded 11 rWAR worth of MI for the privilege of giving Lindor $363m over 11 seasons because, as usual, they couldnt see what was right in front of them. Agreed, but they hadnt locked up any pitching long-term. He wasnt going any where for at least five years. Career earnings will be less than $20M for his first full 5 seasons in the majors. Yesterday the Atlanta Journal- Constitution published an interview with Braves chairman Terry McGuirk in which he describes how the Braves financial success, since the new stadium, has allowed them to keep increasing their payroll and he projects that this will continue in 2023 and beyond: https://www.ajc.com/sports/atlanta-braves/how-the-braves-built-a-well-oiled-machine-that-could-be-here-to-stay/AMCXFCKNK5FATJ3WHTFDWRQCPY/. Yeah, if he ends up being average, its definitely an overpay. June 27, 2022 To Spencer Strider, there are two parts of his baseball life: "PTJ" and "ATJ." Pre-Tommy John and After Tommy John. While I think the Strider extension is a good gamble on an excellent young arm, youre right that any pitcher can turn into a pumpkin due to poor health or performance. $1M (2023) Huh? First, he wouldnt qualify for Super 2 if hes 2nd in NL ROY voting. Roy would give him a full year of service time but he already has the full year of service time. So by the time hes done, the new 0-3 money will end up going in large part to him, Raleigh, Strider, Harris II, and Rutschman. Most annoying 3-2 hitter Ive watched all season. You sound like you have a community college education in accounting. Anyone who signs Judge will definitely regret that deal in a couple years! Strider was the NL Rookie of the Year runner-up to Braves teammate Michael Harris II. Strider wouldve only counted around $750K toward the luxury tax in 2023, had he not signed this extension. . Thanks. $35 million is reasonable figure for FA. Login Here. He made his MLB debut in 2021 and now plays for the Mississippi Braves, Gwinnett Stripers, Augusta GreenJackets, and Rome Braves. They might not be able to re-sign Swanson because of this deal adding $15M to the cap due to his cap adjusted salary and if they do, they no longer can pursue DeGrom or another big named pitcher. 1st year $7.225 mm Conversely, How about them Mets? A pitcher with arm troubles will usually have some for of trouble again and that volatility is increased exponentially by the stature of the pitcher. Do they really think someone is going to go subscribe to Apple TV (one of The Worst of the streamers) just to watch? Btw, Max Fried and Kyle Wright arent garbage.